Every prediction market eventually resolves with a definitive outcome. Here's what happens when markets close.
The Resolution Process
1. Trading Closes
When a market reaches its end time:
No new trades can be placed
Existing positions are locked
The market enters "Pending Resolution" status
2. Outcome Determined
For Opinion Markets (Turbo, Blitz, Daily, Overtime): Markets auto-resolve when the timer ends. The side with more votes wins.
For Classic/Prediction Markets: The market creator or SolMarkets team determines the result based on:
Official sources (news, statistics, official announcements)
Pre-defined resolution criteria
Verifiable, objective evidence
3. Resolution Announced
Once verified:
The winning side is declared (YES or NO)
All positions are settled
4. Payouts Processed
Winners receive their payouts:
Payments credited to your balance immediately
Ready to withdraw or reinvest
How Winning Works
If You Picked the Winning Side
SolMarkets uses a hybrid payout model:
Standard Payout (Pool Sufficient):
When the total pool is greater than or equal to the winning votes, each winning vote pays $1.
Pro-Rata Payout (Pool Insufficient):
In rare cases where winning votes exceed the pool, payouts are distributed proportionally.
Example (Standard):
You bought 150 YES votes for $90
Profit: $60 (66.7% return)
When YES and NO votes are exactly equal:
Both sides are considered winners
The entire pool is distributed among ALL voters
Your payout = (Your Votes ÷ All Votes) × Total Pool
If You Picked the Losing Side
Unfortunately:
Your position is worth $0
You lose your entire stake
No partial payouts for losing positions
This is why price reflects probability - you're paid for taking risk.
Resolution Criteria
Markets clearly state their resolution criteria upfront. Common types:
"Will X happen by [date]?"
Resolves YES if event occurs before deadline
Resolves NO if deadline passes without event
"Will X win [competition]?"
Resolves when the event concludes
Based on official results
"Will X exceed [number]?"
Based on official measurements
Time and source specified
Disputed Resolutions
What If You Disagree?
SolMarkets strives for fair, objective resolutions. If you believe a resolution is incorrect:
Review the stated resolution criteria
Check the sources used for resolution
Contact support with specific evidence
Resolution Finality
Once resolved:
Outcomes are generally final
Changes only made for clear errors
Disputed resolutions are rare with clear criteria
After Resolution
Viewing Results
Check your past positions in the Portfolio:
See which markets you won/lost
Learn from your predictions
Reinvesting Winnings
Your winnings are automatically added to your balance. You can:
Let it grow through more trading
Timeline Expectations
Days to months (varies by market)
Usually < 24 hours after end time
Tips for Resolved Markets
Keep notes on your predictions
Review what you got right and wrong
Improve your prediction process
Don't Chase Losses
After a loss:
Take time before trading again
Celebrate Wins (Reasonably)
A winning trade validates your analysis, but:
One win doesn't make you an expert
Stay humble and keep learning
Next: Creating Markets →