Every prediction market eventually resolves with a definitive outcome. Here's what happens when markets close.
The Resolution Process
1. Trading Closes
When a market reaches its end time:
No new trades can be placed
Existing positions are locked
The market enters "Pending Resolution" status
2. Outcome Determined
For Opinion Markets (Turbo, Blitz, Daily, Overtime): Markets auto-resolve when the timer ends. The side with more votes wins.
For Classic/Prediction Markets: The market creator or SolMarkets team determines the result based on:
Official sources (news, statistics, official announcements)
Pre-defined resolution criteria
Verifiable, objective evidence
3. Resolution Announced
Once verified:
The winning side is declared (YES or NO)
All positions are settled
4. Payouts Processed
Winners receive their payouts:
Payments credited to your balance immediately
Ready to withdraw or reinvest
How Winning Works
If You Picked the Winning Side
SolMarkets uses a hybrid payout model:
Standard Payout (Pool Sufficient):
When the total pool is greater than or equal to the winning votes, each winning vote pays $1.
Pro-Rata Payout (Pool Insufficient):
In rare cases where winning votes exceed the pool, payouts are distributed proportionally.
Example (Standard):
You bought 150 YES votes for $90
Profit: $60 (66.7% return)
When YES and NO votes are exactly equal:
Both sides are considered winners
The entire pool is distributed among ALL voters
Your payout = (Your Votes ÷ All Votes) × Total Pool
If You Picked the Losing Side
Unfortunately:
Your position is worth $0
You lose your entire stake
No partial payouts for losing positions
This is why price reflects probability - you're paid for taking risk.
Resolution Criteria
Markets clearly state their resolution criteria upfront. Common types:
"Will X happen by [date]?"
Resolves YES if event occurs before deadline
Resolves NO if deadline passes without event
"Will X win [competition]?"
Resolves when the event concludes
Based on official results
"Will X exceed [number]?"
Based on official measurements
Time and source specified
Disputed Resolutions
What If You Disagree?
SolMarkets strives for fair, objective resolutions. If you believe a resolution is incorrect:
Review the stated resolution criteria
Check the sources used for resolution
Contact support with specific evidence
Resolution Finality
Once resolved:
Outcomes are generally final
Changes only made for clear errors
Disputed resolutions are rare with clear criteria
After Resolution
Viewing Results
Check your past positions in the Portfolio:
See which markets you won/lost
Learn from your predictions
Reinvesting Winnings
Your winnings are automatically added to your balance. You can:
Let it grow through more trading
Timeline Expectations
Tips for Resolved Markets
Keep notes on your predictions
Review what you got right and wrong
Improve your prediction process
Don't Chase Losses
After a loss:
Take time before trading again
Celebrate Wins (Reasonably)
A winning trade validates your analysis, but:
One win doesn't make you an expert
Stay humble and keep learning
Next: Creating Markets →